Pricing Model Flaws

Assumption

Pricing model flaws frequently originate from simplifying assumptions regarding asset behavior, particularly concerning distributional characteristics and independence of increments. In cryptocurrency markets, the non-stationary nature of volatility and the prevalence of fat tails challenge the validity of standard assumptions like geometric Brownian motion, leading to mispricing of derivatives. Furthermore, assumptions of market efficiency are often violated due to information asymmetry and manipulation, impacting option valuations and hedging strategies. Accurate calibration requires a critical assessment of these underlying assumptions and their suitability for the specific asset and market conditions.