Skew and Kurtosis
Skew and kurtosis are statistical measures used to describe the shape of a probability distribution, which is essential for understanding the risk of extreme price movements in options. Skew measures the asymmetry of the distribution, indicating whether there is a higher probability of extreme positive or negative returns.
Kurtosis measures the "fatness" of the tails, indicating the probability of extreme events occurring. In options trading, these measures are used to analyze the volatility smile and to price options correctly.
High kurtosis, or "fat tails," means that extreme market moves are more likely than a normal distribution would suggest, which is a common characteristic of crypto assets. By incorporating these measures into their models, traders can better account for tail risk and avoid being blindsided by black swan events.
It is a more advanced approach to risk assessment than relying on standard deviation alone. Understanding these statistical properties is key to sophisticated derivative pricing.