Contango and Backwardation
Contango and backwardation describe the relationship between the spot price of an asset and its futures price over time. In contango, the futures price is higher than the spot price, which is common in markets with storage costs or positive interest rates.
In backwardation, the futures price is lower than the spot price, often indicating a shortage of the asset or high immediate demand. These states are critical for traders using basis strategies, as they dictate whether the market is paying a premium or a discount for future delivery.
Understanding these conditions helps traders anticipate market sentiment and identify profitable opportunities in the term structure of futures contracts. It is a fundamental concept in commodity and digital asset market analysis.