Arbitrage Pricing Theory
Arbitrage pricing theory is a mathematical model that suggests an asset's expected return can be predicted using its relationship to various macroeconomic factors. Unlike models that rely on a single market factor, this theory accounts for multiple risks, such as interest rate changes, inflation, and market volatility.
In the context of derivatives, it helps traders determine the fair value of an instrument by comparing it to similar assets. The theory assumes that markets are efficient and that any mispricing will be quickly corrected by arbitrageurs.
It provides a robust framework for quantitative finance and risk management. By identifying deviations from fair value, traders can construct portfolios that capture alpha while minimizing exposure to systematic risk.