Systemic Risk Modeling

Framework

Systemic risk modeling establishes a quantitative framework for identifying, measuring, and predicting the potential for widespread financial instability across an entire market or financial system. This framework moves beyond individual firm risk to assess interconnectedness and contagion channels. It employs network theory, stress testing, and agent-based models to simulate how the failure of one entity or market segment could trigger a cascade of failures. This holistic approach is crucial for macroprudential oversight.