Distribution Skew

Analysis

Distribution Skew, within cryptocurrency derivatives, represents a deviation from a symmetrical probability distribution of future price movements, indicating a higher probability of large price swings in one direction. This asymmetry is particularly relevant for options pricing, where implied volatility often differs across strike prices, reflecting market participants’ expectations of non-normal returns. Identifying this skew allows traders to refine risk assessments and potentially exploit mispricings in derivative contracts, especially concerning tail risk. Consequently, a pronounced skew suggests heightened demand for out-of-the-money puts, signaling a perceived downside bias.