Volatility Term Structure
The Volatility Term Structure is the relationship between the implied volatility of options and their time to expiration. It shows how the market prices volatility for different horizons, such as one month, three months, or one year.
The structure can be upward-sloping, downward-sloping, or flat, depending on market expectations for future volatility. An upward-sloping structure suggests the market expects higher volatility in the future, while a downward-sloping structure suggests it expects volatility to decline.
This is a critical concept for traders who use calendar spreads or other time-based volatility strategies. By analyzing the term structure, traders can identify opportunities where volatility is mispriced for a specific maturity.
It also provides insights into how the market views the long-term stability of the underlying asset. In crypto, the term structure can be very steep, reflecting the market sensitivity to near-term events versus long-term growth.
It is a fundamental part of volatility analysis.