Volatility Persistence
Volatility persistence describes the tendency for a shock to the variance of an asset to decay slowly over time, rather than disappearing immediately. In the context of GARCH modeling, high persistence means that a spike in volatility today will likely result in elevated volatility for several days or weeks.
This is a common feature in cryptocurrency markets, where shocks often have long-lasting effects on market sentiment and liquidity. Understanding this persistence is vital for long-term risk management and for setting the duration of hedging strategies.
It implies that the market has a "memory" of past events, which is reflected in the structure of option premiums. Traders who ignore persistence may underestimate the duration of risk exposure.
It is a core component of how models quantify the long-term impact of market disruptions.