Tail Dependence
Tail dependence is a measure of the tendency for assets to exhibit extreme co-movements during market stress. It quantifies how likely it is that two or more assets will crash simultaneously, even if they show low correlation under normal conditions.
In the crypto market, tail dependence is extremely high because assets are often highly correlated with the broader market and sensitive to the same liquidity providers. When a major asset like Bitcoin drops, other altcoins often follow, creating a cascade of liquidations.
Understanding tail dependence is critical for portfolio diversification, as it highlights that traditional diversification may fail exactly when it is needed most. Quantitative models must incorporate this dependence to accurately assess systemic risk and inter-asset contagion.