Model Limitations
Model limitations refer to the inherent gaps between the theoretical assumptions of a pricing model and the messy, unpredictable reality of financial markets. Standard models like Black-Scholes assume constant volatility, normal distribution of returns, and continuous trading, none of which perfectly describe the crypto market.
Crypto assets often exhibit "fat tails," where extreme price events occur more frequently than the model predicts, and volatility is rarely constant. Furthermore, liquidity constraints and transaction costs can create significant deviations between model-calculated prices and actual market prices.
Recognizing these limitations is crucial for any professional trader or developer. It prevents an over-reliance on mathematical outputs and encourages the use of stress testing, scenario analysis, and real-world market observation to supplement theoretical models and manage risks that the models might miss.