Market Efficiency Theory
Market efficiency theory posits that asset prices fully reflect all available information at any given time, making it impossible to consistently achieve returns that exceed average market gains. In an efficient market, prices adjust instantaneously to new data, leaving no room for arbitrage or profit from past patterns.
While traditional financial markets are often considered semi-strong form efficient, cryptocurrency markets are frequently viewed as less efficient due to high fragmentation and technological barriers. This theory provides a benchmark for evaluating whether price differences between exchanges are due to genuine inefficiencies or simply the cost of market participation.
Understanding this theory helps participants distinguish between random noise and actionable signals. It serves as a foundation for quantitative models that attempt to predict price movements based on the speed and accuracy of information dissemination across the global network.