HODL Waves Metrics
HODL waves metrics visualize the age distribution of circulating supply, showing what percentage of the total supply has not moved for various time periods. By categorizing supply by the time it was last active, analysts can identify the behavior of long-term versus short-term holders.
For instance, an increase in the percentage of supply that hasn't moved in over a year suggests a strong accumulation phase and reduced sell-side liquidity. These waves provide a historical perspective on market cycles, helping to identify when the market is reaching a peak ⎊ when long-term holders start selling ⎊ or a bottom ⎊ when they start accumulating.
It is a powerful tool for long-term trend forecasting and understanding the underlying conviction of the investor base. The visualization allows for a clear view of how wealth is concentrated across different holding durations.