# Strike Selection Bias ⎊ Area ⎊ Resource 1

---

## What is the Definition of Strike Selection Bias?

Strike selection bias describes the systematic error occurring when researchers or traders analyze options performance by ignoring out-of-the-money instruments that expired worthless. In crypto derivative markets, this cognitive distortion frequently inflates historical return profiles by filtering for successful outcomes while omitting the full breadth of failed directional bets. Investors must recognize that selective data harvesting creates a false sense of security regarding potential risk-adjusted performance.

## What is the Constraint of Strike Selection Bias?

Mathematical integrity in quantitative models requires the inclusion of the complete strike continuum to prevent severe underestimation of probability distributions. By excluding unfavorable outcomes, analysts artificially narrow the implied volatility surface and fail to account for the true tail risk inherent in highly leveraged digital asset markets. This operational limitation results in skewed backtesting results that mask the impact of extreme price movements on capital preservation.

## What is the Strategy of Strike Selection Bias?

Professional risk management mandates a comprehensive evaluation of the entire strike range rather than focusing on localized pockets of past profitability. Traders should implement robust data validation protocols that incorporate the full lifecycle of derivative contracts to mitigate the influence of survivorship bias. Adopting a holistic analytical framework ensures that the projected outcomes reflect actual market exposure rather than a curated subset of favorable history.


---

## [Strike Price](https://term.greeks.live/definition/strike-price/)

The fixed price at which an underlying asset can be bought or sold upon exercise of an option contract. ⎊ Definition

## [Strike Prices](https://term.greeks.live/term/strike-prices/)

Meaning ⎊ The strike price is the predetermined execution level of an options contract, defining the intrinsic value and risk-reward profile for both buyer and seller. ⎊ Definition

## [Strike Price Selection](https://term.greeks.live/definition/strike-price-selection/)

Choosing the specific price level for an option contract to balance protection cost and likelihood of payoff. ⎊ Definition

## [Strike Price Distribution](https://term.greeks.live/definition/strike-price-distribution/)

The spread of open interest and trading activity across various strike prices, revealing market expectations and positioning. ⎊ Definition

## [Strike Price Sensitivity](https://term.greeks.live/definition/strike-price-sensitivity/)

The degree to which the value of an option fluctuates based on changes to the predetermined strike price level. ⎊ Definition

## [Data Source Selection](https://term.greeks.live/term/data-source-selection/)

Meaning ⎊ Data source selection in crypto options protocols dictates the integrity of pricing models and risk engines, requiring a trade-off between real-time latency and manipulation resistance. ⎊ Definition

## [Execution Environment Selection](https://term.greeks.live/term/execution-environment-selection/)

Meaning ⎊ Execution Environment Selection defines the fundamental trade-offs between capital efficiency, counterparty risk, and censorship resistance for crypto derivative contracts. ⎊ Definition

## [Strike Price Dynamics](https://term.greeks.live/term/strike-price-dynamics/)

Meaning ⎊ Strike price dynamics define how market volatility expectations are priced across different options strikes, revealing the market's perceived risk profile. ⎊ Definition

## [Order Book Feature Selection Methods](https://term.greeks.live/term/order-book-feature-selection-methods/)

Meaning ⎊ Order Book Feature Selection Methods optimize predictive models by isolating high-alpha signals from the high-dimensional noise of digital asset markets. ⎊ Definition

## [Directional Bias](https://term.greeks.live/definition/directional-bias/)

A market position reflecting an expectation of upward or downward price movement. ⎊ Definition

## [Bullish Bias](https://term.greeks.live/definition/bullish-bias/)

The investment outlook expecting an asset price to rise. ⎊ Definition

## [Benchmark Selection](https://term.greeks.live/definition/benchmark-selection/)

Choosing a reference index for performance comparison. ⎊ Definition

## [Strike Selection](https://term.greeks.live/definition/strike-selection/)

The strategic choice of an option's strike price to match a trader's risk tolerance, market view, and desired outcome. ⎊ Definition

## [Investor Bias](https://term.greeks.live/definition/investor-bias/)

Cognitive patterns causing irrational trading decisions and deviations from objective market analysis. ⎊ Definition

## [Confirmation Bias](https://term.greeks.live/definition/confirmation-bias/)

The psychological tendency to favor information that supports existing beliefs while ignoring contradictory market data. ⎊ Definition

## [Adjustment Bias](https://term.greeks.live/definition/adjustment-bias/)

Failure to adequately adjust initial estimates or beliefs when presented with new, conflicting information. ⎊ Definition

## [Recency Bias](https://term.greeks.live/definition/recency-bias/)

Overvaluing recent events and trends while ignoring the broader historical context. ⎊ Definition

## [Frequency Bias](https://term.greeks.live/definition/frequency-bias/)

Perceiving something as more frequent or significant simply because it has recently become more noticeable. ⎊ Definition

## [Salience Bias](https://term.greeks.live/definition/salience-bias/)

Focusing on prominent or emotional information while ignoring less noticeable but critical data. ⎊ Definition

## [Anchoring Bias](https://term.greeks.live/definition/anchoring-bias/)

The tendency to rely too heavily on an initial piece of information, typically past price, when evaluating current value. ⎊ Definition

## [Option Strike Price](https://term.greeks.live/definition/option-strike-price/)

The set price at which an option holder can buy or sell the underlying asset upon exercise. ⎊ Definition

## [Option Pricing Convexity Bias](https://term.greeks.live/term/option-pricing-convexity-bias/)

Meaning ⎊ Option Pricing Convexity Bias is the cost of managing non-linear risk in markets where liquidity and price continuity are frequently compromised. ⎊ Definition

## [Backtesting Bias](https://term.greeks.live/definition/backtesting-bias/)

Errors in historical strategy testing, such as look-ahead bias, that lead to unrealistic and optimistic performance results. ⎊ Definition

## [Look Ahead Bias](https://term.greeks.live/definition/look-ahead-bias/)

An error where a backtest uses future information that would not have been available at the time of the trade. ⎊ Definition

## [Survivorship Bias](https://term.greeks.live/definition/survivorship-bias/)

Ignoring failed assets or defunct strategies in data analysis which creates an illusion of higher historical success rates. ⎊ Definition

## [Market Sentiment Bias](https://term.greeks.live/definition/market-sentiment-bias/)

The collective psychological inclination of traders to favor emotional reactions over objective data in asset pricing. ⎊ Definition

## [Backtest Overfitting Bias](https://term.greeks.live/definition/backtest-overfitting-bias/)

The error of tuning a strategy too closely to historical data, rendering it ineffective in real-time, unseen market conditions. ⎊ Definition

## [Look-Ahead Bias](https://term.greeks.live/definition/look-ahead-bias-2/)

Incorporating future data into historical testing models creating unrealistic performance results that cannot be replicated. ⎊ Definition

## [Sample Bias](https://term.greeks.live/definition/sample-bias/)

A statistical error where the data used for analysis is not representative of the actual market environment. ⎊ Definition

## [Algorithmic Bias](https://term.greeks.live/definition/algorithmic-bias/)

Systematic errors in model output stemming from flawed assumptions or unrepresentative historical training data. ⎊ Definition

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                "caption": "The image displays a hard-surface rendered, futuristic mechanical head or sentinel, featuring a white angular structure on the left side, a central dark blue section, and a prominent teal-green polygonal eye socket housing a glowing green sphere. The design emphasizes sharp geometric forms and clean lines against a dark background."
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        },
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            "url": "https://term.greeks.live/definition/confirmation-bias/",
            "headline": "Confirmation Bias",
            "description": "The psychological tendency to favor information that supports existing beliefs while ignoring contradictory market data. ⎊ Definition",
            "datePublished": "2026-03-10T03:08:19+00:00",
            "dateModified": "2026-04-14T22:21:29+00:00",
            "author": {
                "@type": "Person",
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                "url": "https://term.greeks.live/author/greeks-live/"
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                "caption": "A cross-sectional view displays concentric cylindrical layers nested within one another, with a dark blue outer component partially enveloping the inner structures. The inner layers include a light beige form, various shades of blue, and a vibrant green core, suggesting depth and structural complexity."
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        },
        {
            "@type": "Article",
            "@id": "https://term.greeks.live/definition/adjustment-bias/",
            "url": "https://term.greeks.live/definition/adjustment-bias/",
            "headline": "Adjustment Bias",
            "description": "Failure to adequately adjust initial estimates or beliefs when presented with new, conflicting information. ⎊ Definition",
            "datePublished": "2026-03-10T03:16:09+00:00",
            "dateModified": "2026-03-10T03:18:26+00:00",
            "author": {
                "@type": "Person",
                "name": "Greeks.live",
                "url": "https://term.greeks.live/author/greeks-live/"
            },
            "image": {
                "@type": "ImageObject",
                "url": "https://term.greeks.live/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/high-frequency-trading-algorithmic-execution-module-for-perpetual-futures-arbitrage-and-alpha-generation.jpg",
                "width": 3850,
                "height": 2166,
                "caption": "This abstract 3D rendered object, featuring sharp fins and a glowing green element, represents a high-frequency trading algorithmic execution module. The design acts as a metaphor for the intricate machinery required for advanced strategies in cryptocurrency derivative markets."
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        },
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            "@id": "https://term.greeks.live/definition/recency-bias/",
            "url": "https://term.greeks.live/definition/recency-bias/",
            "headline": "Recency Bias",
            "description": "Overvaluing recent events and trends while ignoring the broader historical context. ⎊ Definition",
            "datePublished": "2026-03-10T03:16:10+00:00",
            "dateModified": "2026-03-19T08:20:19+00:00",
            "author": {
                "@type": "Person",
                "name": "Greeks.live",
                "url": "https://term.greeks.live/author/greeks-live/"
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            "image": {
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                "url": "https://term.greeks.live/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/algorithmic-smart-contract-core-for-decentralized-finance-perpetual-futures-engine.jpg",
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                "caption": "A precision cutaway view showcases the complex internal components of a high-tech device, revealing a cylindrical core surrounded by intricate mechanical gears and supports. The color palette features a dark blue casing contrasted with teal and metallic internal parts, emphasizing a sense of engineering and technological complexity."
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        },
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            "@id": "https://term.greeks.live/definition/frequency-bias/",
            "url": "https://term.greeks.live/definition/frequency-bias/",
            "headline": "Frequency Bias",
            "description": "Perceiving something as more frequent or significant simply because it has recently become more noticeable. ⎊ Definition",
            "datePublished": "2026-03-10T03:17:10+00:00",
            "dateModified": "2026-03-10T03:18:37+00:00",
            "author": {
                "@type": "Person",
                "name": "Greeks.live",
                "url": "https://term.greeks.live/author/greeks-live/"
            },
            "image": {
                "@type": "ImageObject",
                "url": "https://term.greeks.live/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/complex-smart-contract-architecture-of-decentralized-options-illustrating-automated-high-frequency-execution-and-risk-management-protocols.jpg",
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                "height": 2166,
                "caption": "A three-dimensional render presents a detailed cross-section view of a high-tech component, resembling an earbud or small mechanical device. The dark blue external casing is cut away to expose an intricate internal mechanism composed of metallic, teal, and gold-colored parts, illustrating complex engineering."
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        },
        {
            "@type": "Article",
            "@id": "https://term.greeks.live/definition/salience-bias/",
            "url": "https://term.greeks.live/definition/salience-bias/",
            "headline": "Salience Bias",
            "description": "Focusing on prominent or emotional information while ignoring less noticeable but critical data. ⎊ Definition",
            "datePublished": "2026-03-10T03:17:11+00:00",
            "dateModified": "2026-03-19T08:20:37+00:00",
            "author": {
                "@type": "Person",
                "name": "Greeks.live",
                "url": "https://term.greeks.live/author/greeks-live/"
            },
            "image": {
                "@type": "ImageObject",
                "url": "https://term.greeks.live/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/analyzing-decentralized-finance-options-chain-interdependence-and-layered-risk-tranches-in-market-microstructure.jpg",
                "width": 3850,
                "height": 2166,
                "caption": "A high-resolution, close-up rendering displays several layered, colorful, curving bands connected by a mechanical pivot point or joint. The varying shades of blue, green, and dark tones suggest different components or layers within a complex system."
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        },
        {
            "@type": "Article",
            "@id": "https://term.greeks.live/definition/anchoring-bias/",
            "url": "https://term.greeks.live/definition/anchoring-bias/",
            "headline": "Anchoring Bias",
            "description": "The tendency to rely too heavily on an initial piece of information, typically past price, when evaluating current value. ⎊ Definition",
            "datePublished": "2026-03-10T03:32:38+00:00",
            "dateModified": "2026-03-23T13:14:14+00:00",
            "author": {
                "@type": "Person",
                "name": "Greeks.live",
                "url": "https://term.greeks.live/author/greeks-live/"
            },
            "image": {
                "@type": "ImageObject",
                "url": "https://term.greeks.live/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/a-detailed-conceptual-model-of-layered-defi-derivatives-protocol-architecture-for-advanced-risk-tranching.jpg",
                "width": 3850,
                "height": 2166,
                "caption": "A close-up view presents a modern, abstract object composed of layered, rounded forms with a dark blue outer ring and a bright green core. The design features precise, high-tech components in shades of blue and green, suggesting a complex mechanical or digital structure."
            }
        },
        {
            "@type": "Article",
            "@id": "https://term.greeks.live/definition/option-strike-price/",
            "url": "https://term.greeks.live/definition/option-strike-price/",
            "headline": "Option Strike Price",
            "description": "The set price at which an option holder can buy or sell the underlying asset upon exercise. ⎊ Definition",
            "datePublished": "2026-03-11T08:54:35+00:00",
            "dateModified": "2026-04-10T20:46:09+00:00",
            "author": {
                "@type": "Person",
                "name": "Greeks.live",
                "url": "https://term.greeks.live/author/greeks-live/"
            },
            "image": {
                "@type": "ImageObject",
                "url": "https://term.greeks.live/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/dynamic-visualization-of-options-contract-state-transition-in-the-money-versus-out-the-money-derivatives-pricing.jpg",
                "width": 3850,
                "height": 2166,
                "caption": "A dark, sleek, futuristic object features two embedded spheres: a prominent, brightly illuminated green sphere and a less illuminated, recessed blue sphere. The contrast between these two elements is central to the image composition."
            }
        },
        {
            "@type": "Article",
            "@id": "https://term.greeks.live/term/option-pricing-convexity-bias/",
            "url": "https://term.greeks.live/term/option-pricing-convexity-bias/",
            "headline": "Option Pricing Convexity Bias",
            "description": "Meaning ⎊ Option Pricing Convexity Bias is the cost of managing non-linear risk in markets where liquidity and price continuity are frequently compromised. ⎊ Definition",
            "datePublished": "2026-03-11T12:22:28+00:00",
            "dateModified": "2026-03-11T12:22:59+00:00",
            "author": {
                "@type": "Person",
                "name": "Greeks.live",
                "url": "https://term.greeks.live/author/greeks-live/"
            },
            "image": {
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                "url": "https://term.greeks.live/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/decentralized-finance-propulsion-mechanism-algorithmic-trading-strategy-execution-velocity-and-volatility-hedging.jpg",
                "width": 3850,
                "height": 2166,
                "caption": "A futuristic, high-speed propulsion unit in dark blue with silver and green accents is shown. The main body features sharp, angular stabilizers and a large four-blade propeller."
            }
        },
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            "@type": "Article",
            "@id": "https://term.greeks.live/definition/backtesting-bias/",
            "url": "https://term.greeks.live/definition/backtesting-bias/",
            "headline": "Backtesting Bias",
            "description": "Errors in historical strategy testing, such as look-ahead bias, that lead to unrealistic and optimistic performance results. ⎊ Definition",
            "datePublished": "2026-03-11T21:36:40+00:00",
            "dateModified": "2026-04-14T23:09:06+00:00",
            "author": {
                "@type": "Person",
                "name": "Greeks.live",
                "url": "https://term.greeks.live/author/greeks-live/"
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            "image": {
                "@type": "ImageObject",
                "url": "https://term.greeks.live/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/algorithmic-smart-contract-visualization-representing-implied-volatility-and-options-risk-model-dynamics.jpg",
                "width": 3850,
                "height": 2166,
                "caption": "The abstract render displays a blue geometric object with two sharp white spikes and a green cylindrical component. This visualization serves as a conceptual model for complex financial derivatives within the cryptocurrency ecosystem."
            }
        },
        {
            "@type": "Article",
            "@id": "https://term.greeks.live/definition/look-ahead-bias/",
            "url": "https://term.greeks.live/definition/look-ahead-bias/",
            "headline": "Look Ahead Bias",
            "description": "An error where a backtest uses future information that would not have been available at the time of the trade. ⎊ Definition",
            "datePublished": "2026-03-11T21:44:27+00:00",
            "dateModified": "2026-03-12T05:32:40+00:00",
            "author": {
                "@type": "Person",
                "name": "Greeks.live",
                "url": "https://term.greeks.live/author/greeks-live/"
            },
            "image": {
                "@type": "ImageObject",
                "url": "https://term.greeks.live/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/visualization-of-an-automated-liquidity-protocol-engine-and-derivatives-execution-mechanism-within-a-decentralized-finance-ecosystem.jpg",
                "width": 3850,
                "height": 2166,
                "caption": "A close-up view of abstract mechanical components in dark blue, bright blue, light green, and off-white colors. The design features sleek, interlocking parts, suggesting a complex, precisely engineered mechanism operating in a stylized setting."
            }
        },
        {
            "@type": "Article",
            "@id": "https://term.greeks.live/definition/survivorship-bias/",
            "url": "https://term.greeks.live/definition/survivorship-bias/",
            "headline": "Survivorship Bias",
            "description": "Ignoring failed assets or defunct strategies in data analysis which creates an illusion of higher historical success rates. ⎊ Definition",
            "datePublished": "2026-03-11T21:44:28+00:00",
            "dateModified": "2026-04-14T22:45:49+00:00",
            "author": {
                "@type": "Person",
                "name": "Greeks.live",
                "url": "https://term.greeks.live/author/greeks-live/"
            },
            "image": {
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                "url": "https://term.greeks.live/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/decentralized-autonomous-organization-governance-and-liquidity-pool-interconnectivity-visualizing-cross-chain-derivative-structures.jpg",
                "width": 3850,
                "height": 2166,
                "caption": "A digitally rendered image shows a central glowing green core surrounded by eight dark blue, curved mechanical arms or segments. The composition is symmetrical, resembling a high-tech flower or data nexus with bright green accent rings on each segment."
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        },
        {
            "@type": "Article",
            "@id": "https://term.greeks.live/definition/market-sentiment-bias/",
            "url": "https://term.greeks.live/definition/market-sentiment-bias/",
            "headline": "Market Sentiment Bias",
            "description": "The collective psychological inclination of traders to favor emotional reactions over objective data in asset pricing. ⎊ Definition",
            "datePublished": "2026-03-11T22:01:04+00:00",
            "dateModified": "2026-03-29T14:44:34+00:00",
            "author": {
                "@type": "Person",
                "name": "Greeks.live",
                "url": "https://term.greeks.live/author/greeks-live/"
            },
            "image": {
                "@type": "ImageObject",
                "url": "https://term.greeks.live/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/market-microstructure-liquidity-provision-automated-market-maker-perpetual-swap-options-volatility-management.jpg",
                "width": 3850,
                "height": 2166,
                "caption": "A high-resolution abstract image displays layered, flowing forms in deep blue and black hues. A creamy white elongated object is channeled through the central groove, contrasting with a bright green feature on the right."
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        },
        {
            "@type": "Article",
            "@id": "https://term.greeks.live/definition/backtest-overfitting-bias/",
            "url": "https://term.greeks.live/definition/backtest-overfitting-bias/",
            "headline": "Backtest Overfitting Bias",
            "description": "The error of tuning a strategy too closely to historical data, rendering it ineffective in real-time, unseen market conditions. ⎊ Definition",
            "datePublished": "2026-03-12T02:44:35+00:00",
            "dateModified": "2026-03-12T02:45:21+00:00",
            "author": {
                "@type": "Person",
                "name": "Greeks.live",
                "url": "https://term.greeks.live/author/greeks-live/"
            },
            "image": {
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                "url": "https://term.greeks.live/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/decentralized-autonomous-organization-governance-and-liquidity-pool-interconnectivity-visualizing-cross-chain-derivative-structures.jpg",
                "width": 3850,
                "height": 2166,
                "caption": "A digitally rendered image shows a central glowing green core surrounded by eight dark blue, curved mechanical arms or segments. The composition is symmetrical, resembling a high-tech flower or data nexus with bright green accent rings on each segment."
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        },
        {
            "@type": "Article",
            "@id": "https://term.greeks.live/definition/look-ahead-bias-2/",
            "url": "https://term.greeks.live/definition/look-ahead-bias-2/",
            "headline": "Look-Ahead Bias",
            "description": "Incorporating future data into historical testing models creating unrealistic performance results that cannot be replicated. ⎊ Definition",
            "datePublished": "2026-03-12T03:21:39+00:00",
            "dateModified": "2026-04-14T22:46:48+00:00",
            "author": {
                "@type": "Person",
                "name": "Greeks.live",
                "url": "https://term.greeks.live/author/greeks-live/"
            },
            "image": {
                "@type": "ImageObject",
                "url": "https://term.greeks.live/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/decentralized-finance-propulsion-mechanism-algorithmic-trading-strategy-execution-velocity-and-volatility-hedging.jpg",
                "width": 3850,
                "height": 2166,
                "caption": "A futuristic, high-speed propulsion unit in dark blue with silver and green accents is shown. The main body features sharp, angular stabilizers and a large four-blade propeller."
            }
        },
        {
            "@type": "Article",
            "@id": "https://term.greeks.live/definition/sample-bias/",
            "url": "https://term.greeks.live/definition/sample-bias/",
            "headline": "Sample Bias",
            "description": "A statistical error where the data used for analysis is not representative of the actual market environment. ⎊ Definition",
            "datePublished": "2026-03-12T03:33:27+00:00",
            "dateModified": "2026-03-12T03:33:52+00:00",
            "author": {
                "@type": "Person",
                "name": "Greeks.live",
                "url": "https://term.greeks.live/author/greeks-live/"
            },
            "image": {
                "@type": "ImageObject",
                "url": "https://term.greeks.live/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/interwoven-structured-product-layers-and-synthetic-asset-liquidity-in-decentralized-finance-protocols.jpg",
                "width": 3850,
                "height": 2166,
                "caption": "A dynamic abstract composition features interwoven bands of varying colors, including dark blue, vibrant green, and muted silver, flowing in complex alignment against a dark background. The surfaces of the bands exhibit subtle gradients and reflections, highlighting their interwoven structure and suggesting movement."
            }
        },
        {
            "@type": "Article",
            "@id": "https://term.greeks.live/definition/algorithmic-bias/",
            "url": "https://term.greeks.live/definition/algorithmic-bias/",
            "headline": "Algorithmic Bias",
            "description": "Systematic errors in model output stemming from flawed assumptions or unrepresentative historical training data. ⎊ Definition",
            "datePublished": "2026-03-12T15:05:36+00:00",
            "dateModified": "2026-03-12T15:06:34+00:00",
            "author": {
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                "url": "https://term.greeks.live/author/greeks-live/"
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            "image": {
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                "url": "https://term.greeks.live/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/trajectory-and-momentum-analysis-of-options-spreads-in-decentralized-finance-protocols-with-algorithmic-volatility-hedging.jpg",
                "width": 3850,
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                "caption": "A low-angle abstract shot captures a facade or wall composed of diagonal stripes, alternating between dark blue, medium blue, bright green, and bright white segments. The lines are arranged diagonally across the frame, creating a dynamic sense of movement and contrast between light and shadow."
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        }
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    "image": {
        "@type": "ImageObject",
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}
```


---

**Original URL:** https://term.greeks.live/area/strike-selection-bias/resource/1/