# Expected Value Concepts ⎊ Area ⎊ Greeks.live --- ## What is the Calculation of Expected Value Concepts? Expected value, within cryptocurrency and derivatives, represents the weighted average outcome of potential scenarios, crucial for assessing the profitability of a trading strategy or the fair price of a financial instrument. This computation incorporates probabilities assigned to each possible outcome, multiplied by the corresponding payoff or loss, providing a single numerical estimate of anticipated return. In options trading, it informs decisions regarding strike price selection and the likelihood of in-the-money expiration, while in crypto, it aids in evaluating the risk-reward profile of volatile assets and complex DeFi protocols. Accurate calculation demands precise probability assessment, often derived from historical data, implied volatility surfaces, or sophisticated modeling techniques. ## What is the Adjustment of Expected Value Concepts? Risk adjustment of expected value is paramount in financial markets, particularly with the inherent volatility of cryptocurrencies and derivatives. Simply calculating expected value doesn’t account for risk aversion; therefore, adjustments like incorporating a risk premium or utilizing utility theory are essential for rational decision-making. Sharpe ratio, a common metric, adjusts for risk by dividing the excess return (over the risk-free rate) by the standard deviation of returns, offering a risk-adjusted measure of performance. Furthermore, adjustments for liquidity risk, counterparty risk, and regulatory uncertainty are critical when dealing with nascent crypto markets and over-the-counter derivatives. ## What is the Algorithm of Expected Value Concepts? Algorithmic trading strategies heavily rely on expected value concepts to identify and exploit profitable opportunities, automating trade execution based on pre-defined rules. These algorithms often employ Monte Carlo simulations to estimate expected values across a range of possible market conditions, optimizing parameters for maximum profitability while managing risk exposure. Machine learning techniques, such as reinforcement learning, can dynamically adjust trading parameters based on observed market behavior, refining the expected value calculation over time. The efficacy of these algorithms hinges on the quality of the underlying data, the accuracy of the models, and the speed of execution within the market microstructure. --- ## [Arithmetic Mean Return](https://term.greeks.live/definition/arithmetic-mean-return/) The simple average of periodic returns, ignoring the effects of compounding and sequence. ⎊ Definition ## [Expected Shortfall Measurement](https://term.greeks.live/term/expected-shortfall-measurement/) Meaning ⎊ Expected Shortfall Measurement quantifies the average severity of extreme portfolio losses to enhance risk management in decentralized derivatives. ⎊ Definition ## [Expected Shortfall Models](https://term.greeks.live/term/expected-shortfall-models/) Meaning ⎊ Expected shortfall models provide a precise quantitative measure of tail risk by calculating the mean magnitude of extreme portfolio losses. ⎊ Definition ## [Discounted Expected Value](https://term.greeks.live/definition/discounted-expected-value/) The present value of a future financial payoff, adjusted for time and risk using a specific discount rate. ⎊ Definition ## [Expected Value Modeling](https://term.greeks.live/definition/expected-value-modeling/) The mathematical process of calculating the average potential outcome of an event based on weighted probabilities. ⎊ Definition ## [Expected Shortfall Analysis](https://term.greeks.live/term/expected-shortfall-analysis/) Meaning ⎊ Expected Shortfall Analysis quantifies average tail losses, providing a robust framework for managing systemic risk in decentralized derivative markets. ⎊ Definition ## [Expected Value Calculation](https://term.greeks.live/definition/expected-value-calculation/) Mathematical process of determining the average outcome of a trade by weighting potential gains and losses by probability. ⎊ Definition ## [Expected Shortfall Calculations](https://term.greeks.live/term/expected-shortfall-calculations/) Meaning ⎊ Expected Shortfall provides a rigorous quantification of tail risk, essential for maintaining stability in volatile decentralized derivative markets. ⎊ Definition ## [Expected Settlement Cost](https://term.greeks.live/term/expected-settlement-cost/) Meaning ⎊ Expected Settlement Cost quantifies the anticipated friction and liquidity decay inherent in finalizing decentralized derivative contracts at maturity. ⎊ Definition ## [Expected State Calculation](https://term.greeks.live/term/expected-state-calculation/) Meaning ⎊ Expected State Calculation enables the probabilistic projection of derivative portfolio values to optimize risk management in decentralized markets. ⎊ Definition ## [Expected Shortfall Measures](https://term.greeks.live/term/expected-shortfall-measures/) Meaning ⎊ Expected Shortfall Measures quantify the average severity of extreme losses, providing a robust framework for managing tail risk in digital markets. ⎊ Definition ## [Advanced Options Concepts](https://term.greeks.live/term/advanced-options-concepts/) Meaning ⎊ Advanced options concepts provide the quantitative framework for managing non-linear risk and systemic stability in decentralized derivative markets. ⎊ Definition ## [Expected Shortfall Estimation](https://term.greeks.live/term/expected-shortfall-estimation/) Meaning ⎊ Expected Shortfall Estimation quantifies the severity of extreme tail losses to enhance solvency and risk management in volatile crypto markets. ⎊ Definition ## [Fundamental Value Analysis](https://term.greeks.live/term/fundamental-value-analysis/) Meaning ⎊ Fundamental Value Analysis identifies the intrinsic economic health and sustainability of decentralized protocols beyond superficial market sentiment. ⎊ Definition ## [Value at Risk Analysis](https://term.greeks.live/term/value-at-risk-analysis/) Meaning ⎊ Value at Risk Analysis provides a quantitative framework for estimating maximum potential losses to manage leverage and ensure protocol solvency. ⎊ Definition ## [Value at Risk Metrics](https://term.greeks.live/term/value-at-risk-metrics/) Meaning ⎊ Value at Risk Metrics provide a probabilistic boundary for quantifying potential portfolio losses in the volatile landscape of crypto derivatives. ⎊ Definition ## [Expected Loss Calculation](https://term.greeks.live/term/expected-loss-calculation/) Meaning ⎊ Expected Loss Calculation quantifies counterparty credit risk in decentralized derivatives to maintain protocol solvency and capital integrity. ⎊ Definition ## [Value at Risk Assessment](https://term.greeks.live/term/value-at-risk-assessment/) Meaning ⎊ Value at Risk Assessment quantifies potential portfolio losses to ensure solvency and stability within decentralized derivative markets. ⎊ Definition ## [Value Accrual Strategies](https://term.greeks.live/term/value-accrual-strategies/) Meaning ⎊ Value accrual strategies programmatically align protocol revenue with participant incentives to ensure sustainable capital growth in decentralized markets. ⎊ Definition ## [Governance Participation Value](https://term.greeks.live/definition/governance-participation-value/) The worth derived from active involvement in a protocol's decision-making and strategic governance processes. ⎊ Definition ## [Protocol Intrinsic Value](https://term.greeks.live/definition/protocol-intrinsic-value/) The fundamental worth of a protocol based on its utility, cash flows, and long-term economic sustainability. ⎊ Definition ## [Expected Value](https://term.greeks.live/definition/expected-value/) The long-term average outcome of a trade calculated by weighing potential results by their probabilities. ⎊ Definition ## [Value Investing Principles](https://term.greeks.live/term/value-investing-principles/) Meaning ⎊ Value investing in crypto uses fundamental analysis of protocol utility and cash flow to identify assets trading below their true economic worth. ⎊ Definition ## [Time Value Decay Acceleration](https://term.greeks.live/definition/time-value-decay-acceleration/) The rapid increase in the daily rate of value loss for an option as it nears its expiration date. ⎊ Definition ## [Fundamental Value Assessment](https://term.greeks.live/term/fundamental-value-assessment/) Meaning ⎊ Fundamental Value Assessment provides the rigorous, data-driven framework necessary to determine the intrinsic worth of decentralized digital assets. ⎊ Definition ## [Intrinsic Value Evaluation](https://term.greeks.live/term/intrinsic-value-evaluation/) Meaning ⎊ Intrinsic value provides the essential, deterministic baseline for calculating option moneyness and managing collateral risk in decentralized markets. ⎊ Definition ## [Value Potential](https://term.greeks.live/definition/value-potential/) The intrinsic capacity of a financial asset to generate sustained economic utility or growth through its structural design. ⎊ Definition ## [Intrinsic Value Assessment](https://term.greeks.live/term/intrinsic-value-assessment/) Meaning ⎊ Intrinsic Value Assessment provides the essential mathematical floor for option valuation and protocol solvency in decentralized markets. ⎊ Definition ## [Value Premium](https://term.greeks.live/definition/value-premium/) Value stocks outperform growth stocks over the long term. ⎊ Definition ## [Future Value](https://term.greeks.live/definition/future-value/) The value of a current asset at a specified future date based on an assumed growth or interest rate. ⎊ Definition --- ## Raw Schema Data ```json { "@context": "https://schema.org", "@type": "BreadcrumbList", "itemListElement": [ { "@type": "ListItem", "position": 1, "name": "Home", "item": "https://term.greeks.live/" }, { "@type": "ListItem", "position": 2, "name": "Area", "item": "https://term.greeks.live/area/" }, { "@type": "ListItem", "position": 3, "name": "Expected Value Concepts", "item": "https://term.greeks.live/area/expected-value-concepts/" } ] } ``` ```json { "@context": "https://schema.org", "@type": "FAQPage", "mainEntity": [ { "@type": "Question", "name": "What is the Calculation of Expected Value Concepts?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "Expected value, within cryptocurrency and derivatives, represents the weighted average outcome of potential scenarios, crucial for assessing the profitability of a trading strategy or the fair price of a financial instrument. 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Simply calculating expected value doesn’t account for risk aversion; therefore, adjustments like incorporating a risk premium or utilizing utility theory are essential for rational decision-making. Sharpe ratio, a common metric, adjusts for risk by dividing the excess return (over the risk-free rate) by the standard deviation of returns, offering a risk-adjusted measure of performance. Furthermore, adjustments for liquidity risk, counterparty risk, and regulatory uncertainty are critical when dealing with nascent crypto markets and over-the-counter derivatives." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "What is the Algorithm of Expected Value Concepts?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "Algorithmic trading strategies heavily rely on expected value concepts to identify and exploit profitable opportunities, automating trade execution based on pre-defined rules. 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The contrast between these two elements is central to the image composition." } }, { "@type": "Article", "@id": "https://term.greeks.live/term/expected-loss-calculation/", "url": "https://term.greeks.live/term/expected-loss-calculation/", "headline": "Expected Loss Calculation", "description": "Meaning ⎊ Expected Loss Calculation quantifies counterparty credit risk in decentralized derivatives to maintain protocol solvency and capital integrity. ⎊ Definition", "datePublished": "2026-03-10T04:11:37+00:00", "dateModified": "2026-03-10T04:13:23+00:00", "author": { "@type": "Person", "name": "Greeks.live", "url": "https://term.greeks.live/author/greeks-live/" }, "image": { "@type": "ImageObject", "url": "https://term.greeks.live/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/algorithmic-strategy-interoperability-visualization-for-decentralized-finance-liquidity-pooling-and-complex-derivatives-pricing.jpg", "width": 3850, "height": 2166, "caption": "A close-up view shows swirling, abstract forms in deep blue, bright green, and beige, converging towards a central vortex. The glossy surfaces create a sense of fluid movement and complexity, highlighted by distinct color channels." } }, { "@type": "Article", "@id": "https://term.greeks.live/term/value-at-risk-assessment/", "url": "https://term.greeks.live/term/value-at-risk-assessment/", "headline": "Value at Risk Assessment", "description": "Meaning ⎊ Value at Risk Assessment quantifies potential portfolio losses to ensure solvency and stability within decentralized derivative markets. ⎊ Definition", "datePublished": "2026-03-10T04:08:04+00:00", "dateModified": "2026-03-10T04:09:56+00:00", "author": { "@type": "Person", "name": "Greeks.live", "url": "https://term.greeks.live/author/greeks-live/" }, "image": { "@type": "ImageObject", "url": "https://term.greeks.live/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/collateralization-tranches-and-decentralized-autonomous-organization-treasury-management-structures.jpg", "width": 3850, "height": 2166, "caption": "A detailed abstract 3D render displays a complex structure composed of concentric, segmented arcs in deep blue, cream, and vibrant green hues against a dark blue background. The interlocking components create a sense of mechanical depth and layered complexity." } }, { "@type": "Article", "@id": "https://term.greeks.live/term/value-accrual-strategies/", "url": "https://term.greeks.live/term/value-accrual-strategies/", "headline": "Value Accrual Strategies", "description": "Meaning ⎊ Value accrual strategies programmatically align protocol revenue with participant incentives to ensure sustainable capital growth in decentralized markets. ⎊ Definition", "datePublished": "2026-03-10T03:12:31+00:00", "dateModified": "2026-03-10T03:13:47+00:00", "author": { "@type": "Person", "name": "Greeks.live", "url": "https://term.greeks.live/author/greeks-live/" }, "image": { "@type": "ImageObject", "url": "https://term.greeks.live/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/multi-layered-risk-propagation-analysis-in-decentralized-finance-protocols-and-options-hedging-strategies.jpg", "width": 3850, "height": 2166, "caption": "An abstract composition features smooth, flowing layered structures moving dynamically upwards. The color palette transitions from deep blues in the background layers to light cream and vibrant green at the forefront." } }, { "@type": "Article", "@id": "https://term.greeks.live/definition/governance-participation-value/", "url": "https://term.greeks.live/definition/governance-participation-value/", "headline": "Governance Participation Value", "description": "The worth derived from active involvement in a protocol's decision-making and strategic governance processes. ⎊ Definition", "datePublished": "2026-03-10T02:55:02+00:00", "dateModified": "2026-03-10T02:57:19+00:00", "author": { "@type": "Person", "name": "Greeks.live", "url": "https://term.greeks.live/author/greeks-live/" }, "image": { "@type": "ImageObject", "url": "https://term.greeks.live/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/intricate-on-chain-risk-framework-for-synthetic-asset-options-and-decentralized-derivatives.jpg", "width": 3850, "height": 2166, "caption": "A close-up view reveals a complex, layered structure consisting of a dark blue, curved outer shell that partially encloses an off-white, intricately formed inner component. At the core of this structure is a smooth, green element that suggests a contained asset or value." } }, { "@type": "Article", "@id": "https://term.greeks.live/definition/protocol-intrinsic-value/", "url": "https://term.greeks.live/definition/protocol-intrinsic-value/", "headline": "Protocol Intrinsic Value", "description": "The fundamental worth of a protocol based on its utility, cash flows, and long-term economic sustainability. ⎊ Definition", "datePublished": "2026-03-10T02:45:16+00:00", "dateModified": "2026-03-10T02:47:43+00:00", "author": { "@type": "Person", "name": "Greeks.live", "url": "https://term.greeks.live/author/greeks-live/" }, "image": { "@type": "ImageObject", "url": "https://term.greeks.live/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/decentralized-finance-protocol-architecture-depicting-options-contract-interoperability-and-liquidity-flow-mechanism.jpg", "width": 3850, "height": 2166, "caption": "A high-resolution cutaway view illustrates a complex mechanical system where various components converge at a central hub. Interlocking shafts and a surrounding pulley-like mechanism facilitate the precise transfer of force and value between distinct channels, highlighting an engineered structure for complex operations." } }, { "@type": "Article", "@id": "https://term.greeks.live/definition/expected-value/", "url": "https://term.greeks.live/definition/expected-value/", "headline": "Expected Value", "description": "The long-term average outcome of a trade calculated by weighing potential results by their probabilities. ⎊ Definition", "datePublished": "2026-03-10T01:48:32+00:00", "dateModified": "2026-03-22T18:49:36+00:00", "author": { "@type": "Person", "name": "Greeks.live", "url": "https://term.greeks.live/author/greeks-live/" }, "image": { "@type": "ImageObject", "url": "https://term.greeks.live/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/visualizing-nested-derivative-structures-and-liquidity-aggregation-dynamics-in-decentralized-finance-protocol-layers.jpg", "width": 3850, "height": 2166, "caption": "A high-angle, close-up view of abstract, concentric layers resembling stacked bowls, in a gradient of colors from light green to deep blue. A bright green cylindrical object rests on the edge of one layer, contrasting with the dark background and central spiral." } }, { "@type": "Article", "@id": "https://term.greeks.live/term/value-investing-principles/", "url": "https://term.greeks.live/term/value-investing-principles/", "headline": "Value Investing Principles", "description": "Meaning ⎊ Value investing in crypto uses fundamental analysis of protocol utility and cash flow to identify assets trading below their true economic worth. ⎊ Definition", "datePublished": "2026-03-10T00:39:34+00:00", "dateModified": "2026-03-10T00:40:18+00:00", "author": { "@type": "Person", "name": "Greeks.live", "url": "https://term.greeks.live/author/greeks-live/" }, "image": { "@type": "ImageObject", "url": "https://term.greeks.live/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/advanced-collateralization-and-cryptographic-security-protocols-in-smart-contract-options-derivatives-trading.jpg", "width": 3850, "height": 2166, "caption": "A high-tech stylized padlock, featuring a deep blue body and metallic shackle, symbolizes digital asset security and collateralization processes. A glowing green ring around the primary keyhole indicates an active state, representing a verified and secure protocol for asset access." } }, { "@type": "Article", "@id": "https://term.greeks.live/definition/time-value-decay-acceleration/", "url": "https://term.greeks.live/definition/time-value-decay-acceleration/", "headline": "Time Value Decay Acceleration", "description": "The rapid increase in the daily rate of value loss for an option as it nears its expiration date. ⎊ Definition", "datePublished": "2026-03-10T00:22:05+00:00", "dateModified": "2026-03-10T00:23:19+00:00", "author": { "@type": "Person", "name": "Greeks.live", "url": "https://term.greeks.live/author/greeks-live/" }, "image": { "@type": "ImageObject", "url": "https://term.greeks.live/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/an-intricate-defi-derivatives-protocol-structure-safeguarding-underlying-collateralized-assets-within-a-total-value-locked-framework.jpg", "width": 3850, "height": 2166, "caption": "A close-up view reveals a complex, porous, dark blue geometric structure with flowing lines. Inside the hollowed framework, a light-colored sphere is partially visible, and a bright green, glowing element protrudes from a large aperture." } }, { "@type": "Article", "@id": "https://term.greeks.live/term/fundamental-value-assessment/", "url": "https://term.greeks.live/term/fundamental-value-assessment/", "headline": "Fundamental Value Assessment", "description": "Meaning ⎊ Fundamental Value Assessment provides the rigorous, data-driven framework necessary to determine the intrinsic worth of decentralized digital assets. ⎊ Definition", "datePublished": "2026-03-10T00:06:54+00:00", "dateModified": "2026-03-10T00:07:53+00:00", "author": { "@type": "Person", "name": "Greeks.live", "url": "https://term.greeks.live/author/greeks-live/" }, "image": { "@type": "ImageObject", "url": "https://term.greeks.live/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/decentralized-finance-structured-products-options-contract-time-decay-and-collateralized-risk-assessment-framework-visualization.jpg", "width": 3850, "height": 2166, "caption": "A complex abstract visualization features a central mechanism composed of interlocking rings in shades of blue, teal, and beige. The structure extends from a sleek, dark blue form on one end to a time-based hourglass element on the other." } }, { "@type": "Article", "@id": "https://term.greeks.live/term/intrinsic-value-evaluation/", "url": "https://term.greeks.live/term/intrinsic-value-evaluation/", "headline": "Intrinsic Value Evaluation", "description": "Meaning ⎊ Intrinsic value provides the essential, deterministic baseline for calculating option moneyness and managing collateral risk in decentralized markets. ⎊ Definition", "datePublished": "2026-03-09T22:48:03+00:00", "dateModified": "2026-03-09T22:48:49+00:00", "author": { "@type": "Person", "name": "Greeks.live", "url": "https://term.greeks.live/author/greeks-live/" }, "image": { "@type": "ImageObject", "url": "https://term.greeks.live/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/dissection-of-structured-derivatives-collateral-risk-assessment-and-intrinsic-value-extraction-in-defi-protocols.jpg", "width": 3850, "height": 2166, "caption": "A conceptual render displays a cutaway view of a mechanical sphere, resembling a futuristic planet with rings, resting on a pile of dark gravel-like fragments. The sphere's cross-section reveals an internal structure with a glowing green core." } }, { "@type": "Article", "@id": "https://term.greeks.live/definition/value-potential/", "url": "https://term.greeks.live/definition/value-potential/", "headline": "Value Potential", "description": "The intrinsic capacity of a financial asset to generate sustained economic utility or growth through its structural design. ⎊ Definition", "datePublished": "2026-03-09T21:42:30+00:00", "dateModified": "2026-03-09T21:43:36+00:00", "author": { "@type": "Person", "name": "Greeks.live", "url": "https://term.greeks.live/author/greeks-live/" }, "image": { "@type": "ImageObject", "url": "https://term.greeks.live/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/algorithmic-volatility-arbitrage-mechanism-for-futures-contracts-and-high-frequency-execution-on-decentralized-exchanges.jpg", "width": 3850, "height": 2166, "caption": "A high-tech, star-shaped object with a white spike on one end and a green and blue component on the other, set against a dark blue background. The futuristic design suggests an advanced mechanism or device." } }, { "@type": "Article", "@id": "https://term.greeks.live/term/intrinsic-value-assessment/", "url": "https://term.greeks.live/term/intrinsic-value-assessment/", "headline": "Intrinsic Value Assessment", "description": "Meaning ⎊ Intrinsic Value Assessment provides the essential mathematical floor for option valuation and protocol solvency in decentralized markets. ⎊ Definition", "datePublished": "2026-03-09T21:00:51+00:00", "dateModified": "2026-03-09T21:01:21+00:00", "author": { "@type": "Person", "name": "Greeks.live", "url": "https://term.greeks.live/author/greeks-live/" }, "image": { "@type": "ImageObject", "url": "https://term.greeks.live/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/dynamic-visualization-of-options-contract-state-transition-in-the-money-versus-out-the-money-derivatives-pricing.jpg", "width": 3850, "height": 2166, "caption": "A dark, sleek, futuristic object features two embedded spheres: a prominent, brightly illuminated green sphere and a less illuminated, recessed blue sphere. The contrast between these two elements is central to the image composition." } }, { "@type": "Article", "@id": "https://term.greeks.live/definition/value-premium/", "url": "https://term.greeks.live/definition/value-premium/", "headline": "Value Premium", "description": "Value stocks outperform growth stocks over the long term. ⎊ Definition", "datePublished": "2026-03-09T19:43:11+00:00", "dateModified": "2026-03-09T19:44:39+00:00", "author": { "@type": "Person", "name": "Greeks.live", "url": "https://term.greeks.live/author/greeks-live/" }, "image": { "@type": "ImageObject", "url": "https://term.greeks.live/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/interlocking-derivative-market-dynamics-analyzing-options-pricing-and-implied-volatility-via-smart-contracts.jpg", "width": 3850, "height": 2166, "caption": "A close-up view presents two interlocking rings with sleek, glowing inner bands of blue and green, set against a dark, fluid background. The rings appear to be in continuous motion, creating a visual metaphor for complex systems." } }, { "@type": "Article", "@id": "https://term.greeks.live/definition/future-value/", "url": "https://term.greeks.live/definition/future-value/", "headline": "Future Value", "description": "The value of a current asset at a specified future date based on an assumed growth or interest rate. ⎊ Definition", "datePublished": "2026-03-09T19:10:41+00:00", "dateModified": "2026-03-09T19:12:47+00:00", "author": { "@type": "Person", "name": "Greeks.live", "url": "https://term.greeks.live/author/greeks-live/" }, "image": { "@type": "ImageObject", "url": "https://term.greeks.live/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/analyzing-decentralized-finance-protocol-layers-for-cross-chain-interoperability-and-risk-management-strategies.jpg", "width": 3850, "height": 2166, "caption": "The abstract image displays a close-up view of a dark blue, curved structure revealing internal layers of white and green. The high-gloss finish highlights the smooth curves and distinct separation between the different colored components." } } ], "image": { "@type": "ImageObject", "url": "https://term.greeks.live/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/advanced-algorithmic-trading-system-visualizing-dynamic-high-frequency-execution-and-options-spread-volatility-arbitrage-mechanisms.jpg" } } ``` --- **Original URL:** https://term.greeks.live/area/expected-value-concepts/